WTI CRUDE OIL - Crude oil review - 20/01/2025 - 01/20/2025 (GMT)

Oil prices fell as speculation about Trump relaxing energy restrains on Russia offset concerns of supply disruptions from the sanctions. The new US sanctions could impact nearly 1 million barrels per day of oil from Russia, but Trump's potential action may determine the duration of recent price gains. Also an easing of tensions in the Middle East where Hamas and Israel exchanged hostages on Sunday kept oil prices for further progressing as well as the potential impact of a cold snap of the weather in Texas and New Mexico could affect oil production which is an additional factor influencing the oil market.
 On the technical side, the price had a rather aggressive bullish boost in the past couple of weeks and has recently corrected to the downside after finding sufficient resistance on the upper band of the Bollinger bands. The level of the 61.8% of the weekly Fibonacci retracement is what is supporting the price at the time of this report being written however the 50-day moving average has crossed above the 100-day possibly pointing at the retest of the the latest high around $79 or even $80. On the other hand, the Stochastic oscillator is already in extremely overbought levels hinting that the $80 mark might not be strong enough to hold the price that high and could potentially test again the 61.8% of the Fibonacci retracement level in the medium-term outlook.