Londinia Opportunities Analyses - 05/07/2024 (GMT) ZAR/USD (X100) FULL0624 - 1H

ZAR/USD (X100) FULL0624
- USD (-)
- 10 min delayed data - CME Globex Futures
Type: Futures
Ticker: ZARUSDXXXX
ISIN: ZARUSDXXXX

Oops, I was wrong about that analysis. My threshold for invalidation has been broken.
  • FX/Indices
  • Timeframe : 1H
  • - Analysis generated on
  • Status : INVALID

Summary of the analysis

Trends
Short term: Bullish
Underlying: Strongly bullish
Technical indicators
78%
11%
11%
My opinion
Bullish above 5.3857 USD
My targets
5.4250 USD (+0.46%)
5.4950 USD (+1.76%)
My analysis
The basic bullish trend is very strong on ZAR/USD (X100) FULL0624 but the short term shows some signs of running out of steam. However, a purchase could be considered as long as the price remains above 5.3857 USD. Crossing the first resistance at 5.4250 USD would be a sign of a potential new surge in the price. Buyers would then use the next resistance located at 5.4950 USD as an objective. Crossing it would then enable buyers to target 5.5916 USD. Caution, a return to below 5.3857 USD would be a sign of a consolidation phase in the short-term basic trend. If this is the case, remember that trading against the trend may be riskier. It would seem more appropriate to wait for a signal indicating reversal of the trend.

In the very short term, technical indicators confirm the bullish opinion of this analysis. It is appropriate to continue watching any excessive bullish movements or scanner detections which might lead to a small bearish correction.
Force
0
10
7.5

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Additional analysis

Quotes

ZAR/USD (X100) FULL0624 rating 5.4000 USD. The price has increased by +0.00% since the last closing and was between 5.3725 USD and 5.4050 USD. This implies that the price is at +0.51% from its lowest and at -0.09% from its highest.

5.3725
5.4050
5.4000

A bearish opening was detected by the Central Gaps scanner. Sellers are trying to impose a bearish trend in the very short term.

Central Gaps

Bearish opening

Type : Bearish

Timeframe : Openning



Here is a more detailed summary of the historical variations registered by ZAR/USD (X100) FULL0624:
The study of the highest / lowest by the Central Records scanner shows the following results:

Central Records

Near a new HIGH record (1 year)

Type : Bullish

Timeframe : Weekly


Near a new HIGH record (1st january)

Type : Bullish

Timeframe : Weekly


Near a new LOW record (1 month)

Type : Bearish

Timeframe : Weekly



Technical


Technical analysis of this 1H chart of ZAR/USD (X100) FULL0624 indicates that the overall trend is strongly bullish. 89.29% of the signals given by moving averages are bullish. The slightly bullish signals given by the short-term moving averages show a weakening of the global trend. The Central Indicators scanner does not detect any result on moving averages that would impact this trend.

An assessment of technical indicators shows a strong bullish signal.
Caution: the Central Indicators scanner currently detects an excess:

Central Indicators

Williams %R indicator is overbought : over -20

Type : Neutral

Timeframe : 1 hour

Central Indicators, the scanner specialised in technical indicators, has identified these signals:

Central Indicators

MACD crosses UP its Moving Average

Type : Bullish

Timeframe : 1 hour


Parabolic SAR indicator bullish reversal

Type : Bullish

Timeframe : 1 hour


Momentum indicator is back over 0

Type : Bullish

Timeframe : 1 hour



The analysis of the price chart with Central Patterns scanners does not return any result.

The Central Candlesticks scanner, specialised in Japanese candlesticks, did not identify any signals.


ProTrendLines
S3
S2
S1
R1
R2
R3
Price


S3S2S1PriceR1R2R3
ProTrendLines 5.3167 5.3639 5.3857 5.4000 5.4250 5.5916 5.9503
Change (%) -1.54% -0.67% -0.26% - +0.46% +3.55% +10.19%
Change -0.0833 -0.0361 -0.0143 - +0.0250 +0.1916 +0.5503
Level Minor Intermediate Major - Intermediate Intermediate Minor



Pivot points can also be used to set your price objectives. Here is the price situation in relation to pivot points:

Daily
Pivot points S3 S2 S1 PP R1 R2 R3
Standard5.30835.33675.36835.39675.42835.45675.4883
Camarilla5.38355.38905.39455.40005.40555.41105.4165
Woodie5.31005.33755.37005.39755.43005.45755.4900
Fibonacci5.33675.35965.37385.39675.41965.43385.4567


Weekly
Pivot points S3 S2 S1 PP R1 R2 R3
Standard5.18255.23505.31255.36505.44255.49505.5725
Camarilla5.35435.36625.37815.39005.40195.41385.4258
Woodie5.19505.24135.32505.37135.45505.50135.5850
Fibonacci5.23505.28475.31535.36505.41475.44535.4950


Monthly
Pivot points S3 S2 S1 PP R1 R2 R3
Standard4.93085.03175.20085.30175.47085.57175.7408
Camarilla5.29585.32055.34535.37005.39485.41955.4443
Woodie4.96505.04885.23505.31885.50505.58885.7750
Fibonacci5.03175.13485.19855.30175.40485.46855.5717

Numerical data


The following is the status of the technical indicators and moving averages at the time of publication of this technical analysis:

Technical indicators
Moving averages

RSI (14): 59.20
MACD (12,26,9): 0.0016
Directional Movement: 1.0526
AROON (14): -71.4286
DEMA (21): 5.3977
Parabolic SAR (0,02-0,02-0,2): 5.3725
Elder Ray (13): 0.0079
Super Trend (3,10): 5.3818
Zig ZAG (10): 5.4050
VORTEX (21): 0.8871
Stochastique (14,3,5): 87.18
TEMA (21): 5.3953
Williams %R (14): 0.00
Chande Momentum Oscillator (20): 0.0100
Repulse (5,40,3): 0.3197
ROCnROLL: 1
TRIX (15,9): 0.0028
Courbe Coppock: 0.31
MA7: 5.3693
MA20: 5.2840
MA50: 5.2740
MA100: 5.2635
MAexp7: 5.3974
MAexp20: 5.3953
MAexp50: 5.3875
MAexp100: 5.3667
Price / MA7: +0.57%
Price / MA20: +2.20%
Price / MA50: +2.39%
Price / MA100: +2.59%
Price / MAexp7: +0.05%
Price / MAexp20: +0.09%
Price / MAexp50: +0.23%
Price / MAexp100: +0.62%

Quotes : - 10 min delayed data - Futures CME Globex